Pork production drops 9.5 per cent by 2032

The EU Commission expects global demand for meat to evolve differently over the next decade.  Indeed, the Commission expects a 2.2 million tonnes (9.5 per cent) drop in pork production by 2032.

According to the Brussels Commission's current long-term forecast, global demand for meat will increase by about 43 million tonnes over the next decade to 2032. In the European Community itself, however, things look very different, as, with the exception of poultry, players in the meat industry have to reckon with declining production and consumption.

3.6 per cent drop in EU consumption

The Brussels Commission assumes that sustainability issues will increasingly affect meat production and consumption and will lead to a downward trend. Thus, meat consumption in the EU is expected to fall by around 1.36 million tonnes or 3.6 per cent by 2032 compared to the 2020-2022 average.

Production process and origin

Average consumption per EU capita is assumed to fall by 1.5 kilograms of meat. In fact, meat production in member states is expected to fall by 2.57 million tonnes or 5.8 per cent over the next period. Consumer concerns about the environment and climate change will lead to increased attention to the production process and origin of products. A decline in pork production is already underway. Countries such as Germany, Denmark, England and the Netherlands saw a 5-10 per cent drop in production last year.

Pork production downward trend

The average pork consumption of an EU citizen is expected to fall by 1.3 kilograms over the next 10 years; this is equivalent to a reduction of almost 961,000 tonnes or 5.1 per cent in the EU as a whole. However, the EU Commission sees pork production declining at an even greater rate; they expect a fall of 2.2 million tonnes or 9.5 per cent by 2032. Rising production requirements, falling consumption and reduced export opportunities due to African swine fever (ASF) are cited as reasons.

Pigbusiness.nl